⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:

This tool provides historical analysis for educational purposes only. It is NOT personalized financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Past performance does not predict future results. The "4% rule" is a simplified guideline that may not suit your situation.

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Stock/Bond Allocation Analysis

Discover how different asset allocations (0%-100% stocks) affect portfolio success rates.

Understanding Asset Allocation

The Trade-Off: Stocks historically provide higher returns but with greater volatility. Bonds provide stability and income but lower long-term growth. The right mix depends on your risk tolerance and time horizon.

Why This Matters: Asset allocation is often more important than individual stock selection. A small change in allocation can significantly impact your retirement success rate.

Historical Evidence: Our analysis uses 93 years of actual monthly market data (1928-2021) to show how different allocations would have performed through all market conditions, including crashes and recoveries.

Key Allocation Concepts
Conservative (20-40% Stocks)

Lower volatility, steadier returns, but may struggle with inflation and longevity risk.

Balanced (50-70% Stocks)

Good compromise between growth and stability. The 60/40 split is a common baseline.

Aggressive (80-100% Stocks)

Higher long-term returns but much more volatility. Requires strong risk tolerance.

Your Sweet Spot

The analysis will help you find the allocation that maximizes success rate for your chosen withdrawal rate.

%
Range: 1-20%, Step: 0.5%
Allocation range
0% - 100% Stocks
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Asset Allocation Guide

100% Bonds: Lower volatility, lower returns

60/40 Mix: Traditional balanced approach

100% Stocks: Higher returns, higher volatility

Key Insight: Higher stock allocations increase both potential returns and sequence of returns risk.